Improve your football paris is a series of articles that describe some well known and well used statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter make more informed paris. Each technology has its advantages and disadvantages and their use in isolation will improve your chances of winning. However, together they will prove invaluable in your battle against the bookies. In each article we will describe in detail how a particular method that gives you enough information so you can go ahead and create your own forecasts. We will also give you information about where you can already find websites that use this technique in that it includes their weekly football predictions. The statistical methods described in this series of articles will help you to achieve a better grip on the match or matches, you bet. In this article we will describe the simple method known sequences. The simple sequence is not only a single method, there are several ways to design a simple sequence, and you could probably find one of your own. The way the method is implemented in simple sequence Footyforecast 2. 0 software and site 1X2Monster is to use a weighting factor to each of a series of games. Here are the basic rules. . . A number of matches are used to look back from the forecast date. So let’s say that our team has the following results (the most recent on the right side): WDLL WThis give them the following: 3 + 1 + 0 + 0 + 3 = 7Now to reflect the current form is given to each one weighting factor, so that the oldest game is multiplied by a game before the most recent being multiplied by 5. Of course, this varies depending on how many games you use, but for this example, it gives us the following: 3 + 1 * 1 * 2 * 3 + 0 + 0 + 3 * 4 * 5 = 20 pointsNow say l away team play against the team above have the following record: WWDD DThey will: 3 * 3 * 1 + 2 + 3 + 1 * 1 * 1 * 4 + 5 = 21 points. The difference in points 20 Home v = – 21 = -1. However, depending on how you classify what it could mean an away win, i. e. all results below a point difference = 0 away win, or it could be classified as a draw. Consider a simple example. . . For our example we will use the last ten games played for each team. This is the last ten home games for the locals, and the last ten away matches for the opposite side. The game between Middlesbrough and Bolton Wanderers in the English Premiership has played January 20, 2007. MiddlesbroughL LWWWDLDW WThis gives0 * 0 * 1 + 2 + 3 + 3 * 3 * 3 * 4 + 5 + 6 + 1 * 0 * 1 * 7 + 8 + 9 + 3 * 3 * 10This equals0 0 9 12 + 15 + 6 8 0 30 = 27 107BoltonL WWWDLLWW LThis gives0 * 3 * 1 + 2 + 3 + 3 * 3 * 4 * 5 + 1 + 0 + 0 * 6 * 7 * 8 + 3 + 9 + 3 * 0 * 10This equals0 6 9 12 5 0 0 24 27 0 = 83Therefore difference is107 – 83 = 24 It could be defined as a home win, but depending on your threshold level chosen could be described as a draw. Now it’s your turn. . . Of course, you can choose to use values different from those shown above and by experimenting, you can find better values to use. You can also choose to use all home and away games played by each team in your calculations rather than home games only for the team home and away games for the away team. You can choose to have different thresholds of those listed above. You can also find it helpful to trace the actual results anticipated by the method of simple sequences to see how many actual draw down the away win, draw and home win of forecasting areas. If you have skills you can go ahead and build your own spreadsheet data or even write a piece of software to fit the results and fixtures and apply the simple method of sequence data. Or, if you’re lazy like me, you might get a free program that does for you. 1X2Monster Footyforecast and have provided this type of facility since 1999. A total of seven different statistical methods are used to determine the outcome of every game played in each league, and a complete record of how each method in each game performed is kept. Apart from how each tip performed within its respective league 1X2Monster also provides the league tables of how each league has successfully predicted the outcome of games. The league tables of prediction performance are produced for home win predictions, draw predictions, forecasts away win, and for overall predictions and are invaluable for the soccer punter when deciding where to target their paris European football predictions. Here is a list of all articles of this series. . . Taking Advantage of Your Football Soccer PicksImprove 1X2 Free Paris Using Your Soccer Rateform MethodImprove Paris Using Your Soccer Footyforecast MethodImprove Paris Using Win Loss Draw Your Soccer MethodImprove Paris using simple sequence MethodImprove Paris Using Your Soccer prediction Score Football Betting MethodImprove your using the method of superiority
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